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The Giants assistant GM said he thinks theyre in the back seat on Jon Lester
2014-12-10

Evans suggested that the Cubs and Red Sox are both ahead of the Giants in the bidding. Which is a curious thing to say when youre still, theoretically, in the bidding. It could be an exercise in expectation management, of course. It could mean anything. But if Evans is being straight up, it could mean one suitor is eliminated.

Now, Lester, seriously: make up your dang mind.




Harvey set to face former favorite team in Yankees
2013-05-28

As a Yankees fan raised in Connecticut, Mets phenom Matt Harvey estimates he made approximately half a dozen trips to New York City while he was growing up to watch Subway Series games in person.

On Monday, he took in the Mets' series-opening victory against his former favorite team from the home dugout at Citi Field. On Tuesday night, Harvey will get his best view yet of the rivalry as he takes the mound opposite right-hander Hiroki Kuroda.

Despite his childhood allegiance and the intense nature of the Subway Series, Harvey insists his only focus Tuesday is on helping the Mets win their second straight game against the Yankees at Citi Field before the four-game set shifts to Yankee Stadium on Wednesday.

"We need wins, that's the biggest thing. It doesn't matter who's stepping in the box or who we're playing against," Harvey said. "We need these wins. We need to get on a roll. That's the biggest focus. It just so happens to be the Yankees. If we can get a couple wins out of this or a sweep, then that's what we need."

As much as Harvey has been looking forward to facing the Yankees for the first time, some of the Yanks have felt that same excitement about squaring off against the 24-year-old pitching sensation. Veteran outfielder Vernon Wells admitted he has been keeping tabs on Harvey -- who he says has "electric stuff" -- and has anticipated the showdown for the past couple of weeks.

"I kind of did the matchups two weeks ago and figured he's most likely going to be in there. Four games, you figure you're going to end up getting him," Wells said. "Like I said, I think everyone in here enjoys facing guys like that just to either make one end of the highlight reel, whether you're punching out or getting a hit. We'll see what happens."

Though Harvey has notched just one win since rattling off four in as many outings to start the season, he has still allowed two runs or fewer in all but two of his 10 trips to the mound this season. As scary as Harvey can be on the mound, Yankees manager Joe Girardi is also worried about what the phenom will do against his club with a bat in his hands.

Harvey has just three hits in 20 at-bats this season, but hit .333 (6-for-18) in limited action in 2012.

"I actually watched his first start on TV last year and was very impressed," Girardi said. "I have a friend who's a Mets fan. I said, 'You know what, the other thing is, this kid can hit.' I was not only impressed with his pitching. I said, 'Man, he's got some kind of swing.'"

As for Harvey's pitching, Girardi added: "Obviously, his stuff speaks for itself, but he really looks like he knows how to pitch."

Yankees: Joba set to be activated on Tuesday
Reliever Joba Chamberlain plans to return from the disabled list prior to Tuesday night's game.

The right-hander, on the DL with a left oblique strain since May 1, threw two innings in an extended spring training game on Saturday in Tampa, Fla., without any issues. Chamberlain will re-assume his seventh-inning role out of the bullpen upon his return, according to Girardi.

"If you can throw 95, 96 [mph] at 10:30 in the morning, usually it should be OK," Chamberlain said on Monday. "It's one of those things where we wanted to make sure in between the innings, see how it reacted, just in case that would happen. I feel great."

Mets: Tejada back in leadoff spot
Shortstop Ruben Tejada went 0-for-4 in his return to the leadoff spot on Monday night, but manager Terry Collins believes he's the Mets' best fit for the role.

Tejada's first 16 starts this season came with him batting seventh or lower in the lineup before making his leadoff debut on April 23. He then made 15 of his next 17 starts batting either first or second in the Mets' order. With his continued struggles at the plate, however, Tejada had more recently shifted back to the eight-hole until Saturday, when he hit second against the Braves before batting leadoff in Monday's series opener.

"We've kind of looked at some different things, and as we move forward, he's got to be the guy that leads off for us," Collins said. "Ruben's just going to have to step up, work hard on getting on base and getting back to hitting line drives."

The Mets have already used seven different players in the leadoff role, all of whom have combined for a .196 batting average and .261 on-base percentage -- both National League worsts.

Worth noting
Kuroda is just 2-5 with a 4.81 ERA in eight career starts against the Mets. Last season, however, he allowed just one hit over seven shutout innings in his lone start against them as a member of the Yankees.

The Mets are looking to win their first season series against the Yankees since 2008, when they won four of six meetings. The Yankees have turned in a 17-8 Subway Series record since.

Paul Casella is a reporter for MLB.com. Follow him on Twitter @paul_casella. This story was not subject to the approval of Major League Baseball or its clubs.


March Madness Bracket
2015-02-15

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2013-01-30




MLB: Powerful bullpen system shows Nationals as play
2010-08-23

With manager Lou Pinella announcing his accelerated retirement on Sunday, itís become officialÖthe Cubsí season is an utter mess, and the immediate future, meaning Monday nightís game in Washington, doesnít look any better. Chicago is up against one of the more powerful bullpen betting systems that StatFox has to offer. It seems as if bettors are jumping on this opportunity too, as they have pushed what was an opening line of Washington -145 at Sportsbook.com all the way up to -160. It could go higher too, so turn your attention to this one before you miss out on a good price.


If you havenít been following the Cubs lately, the 2010 season has become a train wreck. The roster has been decimated by trades, injuries, and overall poor play. At 23-games under .500, Pinellaís former team won just five of his last 25 games. In the most recent loss, yesterday at home to Atlanta, the Cubsí bullpen was ravaged for nine runs in three innings of work. You have to wonder whether or not the 16-5 defeat may have made up Pinellaís mind earlier than expected.


At the same time, the Nationalsí bullpen has been pitching very well of late, and comes into Monday nightís contest with a respectable 3.55 ERA & 1.338 WHIP overall. In the last five games, the relief staff has yielded just three runs in 15 innings. That success leads to what has been a highly profitable StatFox Super Situation that could impact Monday nightís game. It reads as follows:


Play Against - Road teams (CHICAGO CUBS) - after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs against opponent with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.000 the last 5 games.

(59-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.6%, +37.3 units. Rating = 4*)


The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -120.6

The average score in these games was: Team 5.1, Opponent 3.7 (Average run differential = +1.5)


The situation's record this season is: (11-1, +8.5 units).

Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (31-12, +15.8 units).

Since 1997 the situation's record is: (148-89, +29.4 units).


In the Cubs' last visit to Nationals Park, they swept a Washington club playing its first series under interim manager Jim Riggleman. The Cubs are hoping for similar results in this season's trip to the nation's capital as they begin the post-Lou Piniella era. With coach Mike Quade taking over as interim manager, Chicago begins a six-game trip Monday against the Nationals.


With Quade moving from the third-base coaching box to the dugout for the rest of the year, the Cubs give the ball to rookie right-hander Casey Coleman (0-1, 7.82 ERA).


Coming off a 2-4 trip that ended with Sunday's 6-0 loss to Philadelphia, the Nationals (53-71) will counter with Livan Hernandez (8-8, 3.06) as they open a seven-game homestand. The veteran right-hander, though, is 0-3 with a 6.32 ERA in his last three starts at Nationals Park after going 4-1 with a 2.10 ERA in his first 10 home outings this season.


Hernandez, 11-6 with a 3.84 ERA against Chicago, receives among the lowest run support in the NL at 3.39 per game. Washington has scored four runs in his last three outings.


Washington has won four of six against Chicago since last season's matchup at Nationals Park.


Monday nightís first pitch is scheduled for 7:05 PM ET as part of a trimmed down betting board of 10 games for the night at Sportsbook.com.




MLB: Seattle run line system looks like sure fire winner
2010-06-29

According to bookmakers weíve spoken with on the subject, only a sparse percentage of baseball bettors dabble in run line wagering. Money line and totals wagering dominates the baseball scene. Still, you have to wonder, if bettors were aware of powerful run line systems like the one affecting the Mariners-Yankees game for Tuesday, would this pattern change? Letís take a look at the key angle favoring Seattle from FoxSheets and how it could impact the contest. The Mís are +1.5, -150 dogs according to Sportsbook.com.

Here is the key betting system:

Play On - All underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =-190 to -135) (SEATTLE) - with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 1.100 over his last 10 games. (43-4 over the last 5 seasons.) (91.5%, +36 units. Rating = 5*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (34-13 over the last 5 seasons.)

The average run line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.5, money line price: -176

The average score in these games was: Team 4.3, Opponent 3.1 (Average run differential = +1.2)

The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 34 (72.3% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (6-0, +6 units).

Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (14-1, +11.9 units).

Since 1997 the situation's record is: (100-37, +37.1 units).

Typically I donít endorse strategies that indicate to back a team with a bad bullpen, but the history of success on this system is just too much to pass up. With a 6-0 mark already in 2010, StatFox has uncovered an angle that has won 43 of its last 47 games, nearly automatic. As you can see as well, the straight up record of this underdog team is 34-13 in that same time span, with our hot starting pitcher holding the opponent to just 3.1 runs on average.

Of course the pitcher of note in our system is Marinersí left-hander Cliff Lee, one of baseball's best (6-3, 2.39). According to source, Lee may be on the trading block again with the Mariners well out of contention. The 2008 AL Cy Young Award winner would be a prize acquisition as he's turning in a spectacular season with 76 strikeouts and four walks.

"I feel good," said Lee, who hasn't issued a walk in 37 innings. "I like where I'm at."

Lee pitched a six-hitter in a 1-0 win over Cincinnati on June 18, and followed that up by scattering nine hits and striking out nine Wednesday in an 8-1 victory over the Chicago Cubs.

The left-hander is facing New York for the first time since going 2-0 with a 2.81 ERA in two starts for Philadelphia in last year's World Series. Including one outing in the postseason, he's 4-0 with a 1.26 ERA in his last four games in the Bronx - two at the new Yankee Stadium.

In what figures to be a thrilling pitching matchup, Lee will be opposed by Phil Hughes, who has enjoyed some extra rest before he tries to win his sixth straight start. New York (47-28) opted not to pitch the 24-year-old Hughes (10-1, 3.17 ERA) during its six-game road trip last week in order to limit his innings. He's one behind Tampa Bay's David Price for the AL lead in victories.

"I don't think I've pitched well enough to really have that record," Hughes told MLB.com. "I've pitched some good games, but the offense has been great. Some of them, I've been lucky and have tried to just keep us in the game. Yeah, I'm surprised, but it's great. Every time I take the hill, I want to win."

Hughes is 5-0 with a 3.86 ERA since his last loss, and 6-0 with a 3.71 ERA in seven outings at home heading into his second career start against Seattle (31-44).

With the money line set at Yankees -155 according to Sportsbook.com, this will be just the second time this season that Lee has pitched as an underdog. He lost a 2-1 decision at Tampa Bay as a +135 dog on May 16th. The StatFox Power Line indicates the line should be Yankees -145.